Joseph Arminio

R · U.S. House, Delaware at-large · Tier 3

Tier 3, “Pro-Israel, critical”

Position

A Republican running against “endless wars” who wants the United States to “require” Israel to implement a two-state solution “according to a relatively short timetable” and says “the Israelis should be required to abandon their pursuit of a Greater Israel” (campaign site, 2026). On iVoterGuide he answers the question on the U.S.-Israel relationship by invoking George Washington's warning against “excessive partiality,” and, commenting on a question about Islamic terrorism, writes “Support Israel when it is in the right” and cites John F. Kennedy's 1957 warning that “to deny the just rights of the Arabs, including Palestinians, is to ask for trouble.” He opposes the Iran war, but pairs all of this with a regional air-defense pact and says Arab states should prevent “the buildup of a Palestinian offensive military capability.” In an October 27, 2026 campaign release on the economy he faulted Rep. Sarah McBride for not opposing “our profligate spending on wars that have nothing to do with US interests (in Gaza, Iran, the Ukraine).”

Why this tier

A flat 3, on a thin record. He is supportive but critical in a way unusual for a Republican: support for Israel made conditional (“when it is in the right”), a call to pressure Israel into a two-state settlement on a deadline and off “Greater Israel,” and an explicit nod to Palestinian rights. That is more than the two-state boilerplate and Iran framing that do not count toward the critical end on their own. On his own video show he goes further on Gaza: in a December 13, 2025 video he said “10% losses is well within the genocide range,” that “according to the extrapolated numbers, the IDF on the orders of Netanyahu have committed genocide” and that the violence “Israel has perpetrated these past two years in Gaza is on the genocidal scale,” while saying a finding of genocide “comes down to intent”; in the same video he said of 1948 that “They expelled most of the Palestinians from 73% of their land at gunpoint,” for which “the appropriate translation might be the term ethnic cleansing.” But apart from an October 2026 complaint that U.S. spending on the war in Gaza serves no American interest, he has not turned any of it into a position on military aid or conditioning weapons, and his plan keeps Israel's defense at its center, so nothing carries him toward 3/4. A 2/3 is defensible, since none of his criticism touches the arms themselves.

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elect26 places 2026 midterm candidates on a six-tier spectrum, from 1 (most pro-Israel) to 6 (most critical of Israel).